Monster Nor’easter for late tonight into Thursday

Monster Nor'easter for late tonight into Thursday

A storm bringing heavy ice and snow to the interior Southeast will reach the Northeast Wednesday night and Thursday with heavy snow and gusty winds. This is a very strong and complex storm! As I write this the storm is dropping a historic ice storm on much of the southeast US! Conditions could be catastrophic down there with hundreds of thousands of people without power. As the storm moves up the eastern seaboard today and tonight it will interact and ‘phase’ with an upper level low pressure system that’s moving out of the mid-west. As these storms phase together and combine their powers to form a super-storm nor’easter, it will create my all time favorite weather term… Bombogenesis!! This means the storm will ‘bomb out’ or rapidly strengthen and intensify as it heads up the northeast coast. This will make for potentially the biggest storm of the year for some parts of the mid Atlantic and northeast. As it moves up the coast the exact track is the key here as a subtle shift of 40-50 miles in storm track could mean the difference between just a couple of inches of snow to well over a foot.
The way it looks now, New Haven can expect 6-10 inches before mixing with and changing to freezing rain and sleet and depending on the exact track, even plain rain in the afternoon tommorow. Even if it does change over, all areas will go back to all snow before ending
Thursday night! Inland CT and MA can expect over a foot with the potential for 14-18 inches where it will stay all snow.
The snow should start in the New Haven area around 2 or 3 am overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. It will become very heavy in the morning and travel will be very treacherous if not impossible.
The big winner here as it looks now (all could change depending on storm track) will be northwestern CT, western MA, southern VT and NH, and heading northeast into Maine. All schools in CT and across NE should be closed tomorrow. Enjoy your snow day kids and teachers. I will update again tonight as the storm approaches and confidence increases on the exact storm track! -SS

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

All the ingredients are coming together to bring us a potent storm for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. As a cold front moves through the area today ushering in another arctic blast, it will be setting the stage for a coastal storm tomorrow. As the front drops south through the region, a weak Albert Clipper will swoop down out of Canada and ride along this front. When this storm makes contact with the warmer Atlantic waters, it will blossom into an all out southern New England snowstorm. Winter Storm Warnings have just been posted for New Haven for heavy snow accumulating 6-10 inches! This snow will accumulate rapidly as it will be brutally cold. This allows for a greater snow ratio. Usually we get about ten inches of snow for every inch of rain , but as it will only be around 10-20 degrees tomorrow and tomorrow night, we will be getting more like 20-30 inches of snow for every inch of rain.

Snow should invade the area around 3pm tomorrow. It will get heavier and steadier heading into the evening. It is going to be very windy and wind chills will be below zero Tuesday night. Plan ahead and be careful if you have to be out tomorrow night! Lots more to come with this developing storm! Stay tuned! -SS

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

A storm will roll into Connecticut during Saturday, spreading snow and travel delays across the state. While some warmer air will move up with that storm, odds favor an extended period of snow into part of Sunday over much of the state. Accumulations will range from 1 to 3 inches in the southeastern corner of the state, where a change to sleet and rain is likely to around a foot in some northern and western communities, where all snow occurs. In New Haven, we can expect some flurries and snow showers starting around midday, and some heavier snow rolling in between 3 and 4pm. The snow should be steady into the evening hours, but as the storm moves in overnight, the warmer air will be brought up with it and the coast will go to an icy mix of sleet and freezing rain. Some coastal areas will even change to plain rain by Sunday morning. All said and done New Haven should expect 4-8 inches in total from this storm. You won’t have to go too far inland though, to find totals ranging 8-12 inches where the precipitation will stay as all snow. The storm will depart the area Sunday afternoon. Wet and slushy areas will freeze Sunday night, so be alert for areas of black ice. -SS

Watching another storm for the upcoming weekend

Watching another storm for the upcoming weekend

The punches just keep on coming from Old Man Winter with a new storm poised to impact parts of the South, Midwest and Northeast this weekend, threatening to bring travel delays and disruptions to outdoor activities. The storm will affect the Central states Friday night into Saturday and much of the East Saturday into Sunday.

A stripe of heavy snow is most likely to fall over parts of northern Indiana, Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania, upstate New York, northern New England and neighboring Canada. Cities that could be hit with an all-out snowstorm include Cleveland, Syracuse, N.Y., and Burlington, Vt. Most cities in the I-95 corridor of the Northeast will have a brief period of snow or a wintry mix at the onset, followed by rain at the height of the storm. A change to plain rain is forecast in Washington, D.C., Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. However, it could snow hard prior to a change to rain in part of the coastal Northeast, raising concerns for a period of slippery travel.

The storm will come together over the Deep South Friday and head toward a cold high pressure system moving across the Northeast. The storm will be preceded by the coldest air of the season so far in parts of the Midwest and Northeast. The storm itself will attack the cold air, removing much of it, but squeezing out heavy precipitation in the process.

In the wake of the storm this weekend, a mixture of Arctic and Pacific air is forecast to come in, so it may not feel quite as cold as recent days from the Midwest to the East. The milder air starting next week will allow a break from the wintry precipitation in some areas hit hard, but not everywhere. Just enough cold air will linger in the northern tier states to allow more storms with snow and wintry mix as the the month progresses. -SS

Watching coastal storm for biggest travel day of year!

Watching coastal storm for biggest travel day of year!

All eyes are now on the potential winter storm for midweek next week. This is a tough time for a big storm, as this is one of the biggest travel times of the year.

The painful blast of wind-driven Arctic air set to invade the Plains this week and East this weekend will fade in most areas while a storm sinking southward in the West will slowly move east. The speed at which this storm moves along and how sharp of a left turn the storm takes later next week is uncertain.

For most areas along the East Coast and South, it will be a question of rain or not on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Rain, poor visibility and low ceilings alone on Wednesday can lead to its share of major delays.

However, just enough chilly air may be in place beginning around the central Appalachians northward to New England for snow and ice, depending on the track, strength and timing of that Gulf Coast storm, which is likely to become an Atlantic coast storm.

Early indications are the storm would swing northeastward across the Appalachians and I-95 corridors later Tuesday, Wednesday into Wednesday night. Details as to when and where the storm will have the most impact will unfold later this week into this weekend.

I’ll keep everyone posted as this storm comes together and takes shape! -SS

Storm off the coast moving out to sea

Storm off the coast moving out to sea

The big coastal storm that we were watching today, will just miss us. As you can see we are right on the very edge of this storm. Throughout the day it will move farther away an in turn we will get sunnier and warmer. Unfortunately right on the heels of this storm is a cold front that will move through tonight. It doesn’t have much precipitation with it, but it will cool it down somewhat. Tomorrow looks to be beautiful and sunny but chillier again. As highs will struggle to reach 50 degrees. Into next week we will be dealing with that stalled out stationary with associated Showers and cooler temps for most of the week. -SS

Living on the edge

Living on the edge

Southern Connecticut will be on the northern most edge of this next large winter storm. The track is still not set in stone, and just a little change in track will greatly increase or decrease snowfall! As it looks now, we should only see a slushy inch or two. Snow will start Monday morning and continue through the day. It will mix with rain at times in the afternoon, but into the evening it will change back to all snow. This does not look like a major storm (for us) as it is right now, but it will need to be watched as it could still drop a sneak attack several inches in some places! Keep you posted! -SS

Still watching Monday

Still watching Monday

This map puts southern CT with about 2 inches of wet snow for Monday! With a big unpredictable coastal storm, there is a still a lot of uncertainty with the forecast. The exact track is hard to nail down, and just a little jog in the track can greatly Increase and decrease the snowfall totals. As it gets closer we will have a better idea what’s coming! Stay tuned! -SS