Monster Nor’easter for late tonight into Thursday

Monster Nor'easter for late tonight into Thursday

A storm bringing heavy ice and snow to the interior Southeast will reach the Northeast Wednesday night and Thursday with heavy snow and gusty winds. This is a very strong and complex storm! As I write this the storm is dropping a historic ice storm on much of the southeast US! Conditions could be catastrophic down there with hundreds of thousands of people without power. As the storm moves up the eastern seaboard today and tonight it will interact and ‘phase’ with an upper level low pressure system that’s moving out of the mid-west. As these storms phase together and combine their powers to form a super-storm nor’easter, it will create my all time favorite weather term… Bombogenesis!! This means the storm will ‘bomb out’ or rapidly strengthen and intensify as it heads up the northeast coast. This will make for potentially the biggest storm of the year for some parts of the mid Atlantic and northeast. As it moves up the coast the exact track is the key here as a subtle shift of 40-50 miles in storm track could mean the difference between just a couple of inches of snow to well over a foot.
The way it looks now, New Haven can expect 6-10 inches before mixing with and changing to freezing rain and sleet and depending on the exact track, even plain rain in the afternoon tommorow. Even if it does change over, all areas will go back to all snow before ending
Thursday night! Inland CT and MA can expect over a foot with the potential for 14-18 inches where it will stay all snow.
The snow should start in the New Haven area around 2 or 3 am overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. It will become very heavy in the morning and travel will be very treacherous if not impossible.
The big winner here as it looks now (all could change depending on storm track) will be northwestern CT, western MA, southern VT and NH, and heading northeast into Maine. All schools in CT and across NE should be closed tomorrow. Enjoy your snow day kids and teachers. I will update again tonight as the storm approaches and confidence increases on the exact storm track! -SS

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

All the ingredients are coming together to bring us a potent storm for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. As a cold front moves through the area today ushering in another arctic blast, it will be setting the stage for a coastal storm tomorrow. As the front drops south through the region, a weak Albert Clipper will swoop down out of Canada and ride along this front. When this storm makes contact with the warmer Atlantic waters, it will blossom into an all out southern New England snowstorm. Winter Storm Warnings have just been posted for New Haven for heavy snow accumulating 6-10 inches! This snow will accumulate rapidly as it will be brutally cold. This allows for a greater snow ratio. Usually we get about ten inches of snow for every inch of rain , but as it will only be around 10-20 degrees tomorrow and tomorrow night, we will be getting more like 20-30 inches of snow for every inch of rain.

Snow should invade the area around 3pm tomorrow. It will get heavier and steadier heading into the evening. It is going to be very windy and wind chills will be below zero Tuesday night. Plan ahead and be careful if you have to be out tomorrow night! Lots more to come with this developing storm! Stay tuned! -SS

Potential Major Winter Storm Thursday into Friday!!

Potential Major Winter Storm Thursday into Friday!!

Two storms will converge on the Northeast on Thursday with the potential for snow. How quickly they get together and strengthen will determine which areas are hit with heavy snow and which areas will have a near-miss. The snowier of two scenarios would suggest that New England will be hit with a powerful nor’easter that produces blizzard conditions, damaging winds and coastal flooding!! Even if the two Thursday storms are slow to converge, they should still wrap enough moisture around to produce a snowstorm over New England. This storm is a couple days away from coming together, and I will do my best to keep you informed of this potential monster nor’easter! -SS

2-4 inch snowfall today!

2-4 inch snowfall today!

A new system started in the Midwest Monday, but tracks into the Northeast today. It is an Alberta clipper, meaning the storm originates from Alberta, Canada. Usually these systems are very weak, and don’t drop a lot of snow, but this one is a little different. This storm is going to transfer it’s energy to a newly forming coastal low, and drop a widespread light to moderate snow accumulation. By the time this storm really gets going, it will already be moving away from the coast of New England, and it will be moving too fast to really unleash its full fury on the northeast. Here in Connecticut, the snow will start around 8 or 9 am an last until 4 or 5 pm. it will be a tough call for schools, because of the start times, but i imagine there will be a good amount of closings and early dismissals around the state. Drive safe and take it slow out there! -SS

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

A storm will roll into Connecticut during Saturday, spreading snow and travel delays across the state. While some warmer air will move up with that storm, odds favor an extended period of snow into part of Sunday over much of the state. Accumulations will range from 1 to 3 inches in the southeastern corner of the state, where a change to sleet and rain is likely to around a foot in some northern and western communities, where all snow occurs. In New Haven, we can expect some flurries and snow showers starting around midday, and some heavier snow rolling in between 3 and 4pm. The snow should be steady into the evening hours, but as the storm moves in overnight, the warmer air will be brought up with it and the coast will go to an icy mix of sleet and freezing rain. Some coastal areas will even change to plain rain by Sunday morning. All said and done New Haven should expect 4-8 inches in total from this storm. You won’t have to go too far inland though, to find totals ranging 8-12 inches where the precipitation will stay as all snow. The storm will depart the area Sunday afternoon. Wet and slushy areas will freeze Sunday night, so be alert for areas of black ice. -SS

Projected snow map

Projected snow map

Well here comes another big complex storm into the area for Monday night into Tuesday. Inland portions of the northeast could see well over a foot from this storm!! Closer to the coast of Connecticut, we should only see a slushy inch or two before it mixes and changes to rain on Tuesday morning. This is going to have to be watched closely as some spots might hang close to the freezing mark early Tuesday, and there could be a prolonged period of freezing rain.

This will heavily impact travel for the Tuesday morning commute! Take the necessary precautions and take it slow out there! Any spots that get a substantial amount of this heavy wet snow, need to be prepared for the chance of power outages. The wet snow will cling to the tree limbs and power lines, and the strong winds will combine to bring many of these limbs and power lines down! Stay tuned for the latest! -SS

Big coastal storm for Tuesday

Big coastal storm for Tuesday

As it looks right now, northern New England looks to be in the bulls eye for heavy snow on this one. This storm will move in later in the day on Monday. It could start as some snow or mixed precipitation for everybody all the way to the coast. The storm will strengthen off the coast and wrap in lots of moisture and warmer air which will change any mix or snow to all rain for Connecticut. There are still some uncertainties with the exact track, and a little deviation could mean more snow for parts of Connecticut. As it gets closer, we will have a better idea of how much snow! I will keep you posted! -SS

Still watching early week storm

Still watching early week storm

This storm is still something to watch. It looks like a big mess of precipitation coming into the area sometime Monday afternoon or evening. It will drop some heavy snow inland and a mix of precip for the coast. There is going to be more coastal flooding and also wind gusts of 50-60 mph. As it gets closer we”ll have a better idea of what kind and how much precip will fall. I’ll keep you posted! -SS

Potent storm potential next week

Potent storm potential next week

We are also watching the chance of a potent storm coming together somewhere in the time frame of Monday-Wednesday for the northeast. While it looks to be a mainly rain event here in Connecticut, inland portions need to watch this very closely. It could drop a good deal of heavy wet snow and rain on already very saturated soil from this weeks rain and melting snow. This will pose a flooding risk for lots of people in its path. This is something to watch, and I will keep you posted! -SS

Potential major storm next week

Potential major storm next week

This storm is currently over the northern Pacific, and it’s looking to cause cross-country trouble next week, from the northern Rockies to the Midwest and eventually to us in the Northeast.

Early indications are that the storm will grow large and strong after negotiating the Rockies this weekend. It will have an opportunity to tap into Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic moisture as it progresses eastward during the first part of next week.
A storm of this nature has the potential to bring strong wind as well as areas of heavy snow on its northern flank, strong thunderstorms on its southern flank and drenching rain in the middle.
Like many storms a week or so away, the track is key to determining where the boundary of rain and snow will set up. We will have to wait and see how much warm air gets pulled into this storm as it makes it’s way east. Ill keep you posted on this evolving storm. -SS