Monster Nor’easter for late tonight into Thursday

Monster Nor'easter for late tonight into Thursday

A storm bringing heavy ice and snow to the interior Southeast will reach the Northeast Wednesday night and Thursday with heavy snow and gusty winds. This is a very strong and complex storm! As I write this the storm is dropping a historic ice storm on much of the southeast US! Conditions could be catastrophic down there with hundreds of thousands of people without power. As the storm moves up the eastern seaboard today and tonight it will interact and ‘phase’ with an upper level low pressure system that’s moving out of the mid-west. As these storms phase together and combine their powers to form a super-storm nor’easter, it will create my all time favorite weather term… Bombogenesis!! This means the storm will ‘bomb out’ or rapidly strengthen and intensify as it heads up the northeast coast. This will make for potentially the biggest storm of the year for some parts of the mid Atlantic and northeast. As it moves up the coast the exact track is the key here as a subtle shift of 40-50 miles in storm track could mean the difference between just a couple of inches of snow to well over a foot.
The way it looks now, New Haven can expect 6-10 inches before mixing with and changing to freezing rain and sleet and depending on the exact track, even plain rain in the afternoon tommorow. Even if it does change over, all areas will go back to all snow before ending
Thursday night! Inland CT and MA can expect over a foot with the potential for 14-18 inches where it will stay all snow.
The snow should start in the New Haven area around 2 or 3 am overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. It will become very heavy in the morning and travel will be very treacherous if not impossible.
The big winner here as it looks now (all could change depending on storm track) will be northwestern CT, western MA, southern VT and NH, and heading northeast into Maine. All schools in CT and across NE should be closed tomorrow. Enjoy your snow day kids and teachers. I will update again tonight as the storm approaches and confidence increases on the exact storm track! -SS

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

Tuesday Snowstorm taking shape!!

All the ingredients are coming together to bring us a potent storm for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. As a cold front moves through the area today ushering in another arctic blast, it will be setting the stage for a coastal storm tomorrow. As the front drops south through the region, a weak Albert Clipper will swoop down out of Canada and ride along this front. When this storm makes contact with the warmer Atlantic waters, it will blossom into an all out southern New England snowstorm. Winter Storm Warnings have just been posted for New Haven for heavy snow accumulating 6-10 inches! This snow will accumulate rapidly as it will be brutally cold. This allows for a greater snow ratio. Usually we get about ten inches of snow for every inch of rain , but as it will only be around 10-20 degrees tomorrow and tomorrow night, we will be getting more like 20-30 inches of snow for every inch of rain.

Snow should invade the area around 3pm tomorrow. It will get heavier and steadier heading into the evening. It is going to be very windy and wind chills will be below zero Tuesday night. Plan ahead and be careful if you have to be out tomorrow night! Lots more to come with this developing storm! Stay tuned! -SS

Potential Major Winter Storm Thursday into Friday!!

Potential Major Winter Storm Thursday into Friday!!

Two storms will converge on the Northeast on Thursday with the potential for snow. How quickly they get together and strengthen will determine which areas are hit with heavy snow and which areas will have a near-miss. The snowier of two scenarios would suggest that New England will be hit with a powerful nor’easter that produces blizzard conditions, damaging winds and coastal flooding!! Even if the two Thursday storms are slow to converge, they should still wrap enough moisture around to produce a snowstorm over New England. This storm is a couple days away from coming together, and I will do my best to keep you informed of this potential monster nor’easter! -SS

2-4 inch snowfall today!

2-4 inch snowfall today!

A new system started in the Midwest Monday, but tracks into the Northeast today. It is an Alberta clipper, meaning the storm originates from Alberta, Canada. Usually these systems are very weak, and don’t drop a lot of snow, but this one is a little different. This storm is going to transfer it’s energy to a newly forming coastal low, and drop a widespread light to moderate snow accumulation. By the time this storm really gets going, it will already be moving away from the coast of New England, and it will be moving too fast to really unleash its full fury on the northeast. Here in Connecticut, the snow will start around 8 or 9 am an last until 4 or 5 pm. it will be a tough call for schools, because of the start times, but i imagine there will be a good amount of closings and early dismissals around the state. Drive safe and take it slow out there! -SS

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

Good looking storm for tomorrow!!

A storm will roll into Connecticut during Saturday, spreading snow and travel delays across the state. While some warmer air will move up with that storm, odds favor an extended period of snow into part of Sunday over much of the state. Accumulations will range from 1 to 3 inches in the southeastern corner of the state, where a change to sleet and rain is likely to around a foot in some northern and western communities, where all snow occurs. In New Haven, we can expect some flurries and snow showers starting around midday, and some heavier snow rolling in between 3 and 4pm. The snow should be steady into the evening hours, but as the storm moves in overnight, the warmer air will be brought up with it and the coast will go to an icy mix of sleet and freezing rain. Some coastal areas will even change to plain rain by Sunday morning. All said and done New Haven should expect 4-8 inches in total from this storm. You won’t have to go too far inland though, to find totals ranging 8-12 inches where the precipitation will stay as all snow. The storm will depart the area Sunday afternoon. Wet and slushy areas will freeze Sunday night, so be alert for areas of black ice. -SS

Watching another storm for the upcoming weekend

Watching another storm for the upcoming weekend

The punches just keep on coming from Old Man Winter with a new storm poised to impact parts of the South, Midwest and Northeast this weekend, threatening to bring travel delays and disruptions to outdoor activities. The storm will affect the Central states Friday night into Saturday and much of the East Saturday into Sunday.

A stripe of heavy snow is most likely to fall over parts of northern Indiana, Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania, upstate New York, northern New England and neighboring Canada. Cities that could be hit with an all-out snowstorm include Cleveland, Syracuse, N.Y., and Burlington, Vt. Most cities in the I-95 corridor of the Northeast will have a brief period of snow or a wintry mix at the onset, followed by rain at the height of the storm. A change to plain rain is forecast in Washington, D.C., Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. However, it could snow hard prior to a change to rain in part of the coastal Northeast, raising concerns for a period of slippery travel.

The storm will come together over the Deep South Friday and head toward a cold high pressure system moving across the Northeast. The storm will be preceded by the coldest air of the season so far in parts of the Midwest and Northeast. The storm itself will attack the cold air, removing much of it, but squeezing out heavy precipitation in the process.

In the wake of the storm this weekend, a mixture of Arctic and Pacific air is forecast to come in, so it may not feel quite as cold as recent days from the Midwest to the East. The milder air starting next week will allow a break from the wintry precipitation in some areas hit hard, but not everywhere. Just enough cold air will linger in the northern tier states to allow more storms with snow and wintry mix as the the month progresses. -SS

More wintry weather for Tuesday

More wintry weather for Tuesday

The Northeast will have another round of accumulating snowfall early this week, right on the heels of the weekend winter storm. Most locations will pick up 1 to 3 inches of snow from this storm. However, the worst of the snow looks to fall across the I-95 corridor with 3 to 6 inches of snow in the forecast for cities such as New York, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., Boston and Baltimore. Unlike the storm this past weekend that brought a combination of snow, sleet and freezing rain to the region, precipitation looks to fall mainly as snow in the Northeast with rain farther to the south. Snow will come to an end on Tuesday night across the region as the storm quickly tracks off the East Coast. -SS

Watching coastal storm for biggest travel day of year!

Watching coastal storm for biggest travel day of year!

All eyes are now on the potential winter storm for midweek next week. This is a tough time for a big storm, as this is one of the biggest travel times of the year.

The painful blast of wind-driven Arctic air set to invade the Plains this week and East this weekend will fade in most areas while a storm sinking southward in the West will slowly move east. The speed at which this storm moves along and how sharp of a left turn the storm takes later next week is uncertain.

For most areas along the East Coast and South, it will be a question of rain or not on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Rain, poor visibility and low ceilings alone on Wednesday can lead to its share of major delays.

However, just enough chilly air may be in place beginning around the central Appalachians northward to New England for snow and ice, depending on the track, strength and timing of that Gulf Coast storm, which is likely to become an Atlantic coast storm.

Early indications are the storm would swing northeastward across the Appalachians and I-95 corridors later Tuesday, Wednesday into Wednesday night. Details as to when and where the storm will have the most impact will unfold later this week into this weekend.

I’ll keep everyone posted as this storm comes together and takes shape! -SS

Stevie Storms is back, and so is the chance of snow!

Stevie Storms is back, and so is the chance of snow!

Hello again everybody!! I took a little hiatus from blogging as the weather has been nice and fairly tranquil! With no real tropical threats this year, we finally get a break from the major storms. That doesn’t mean there won’t be snow storms though. As we are now only a couple weeks into the fall, we are already talking about a chance of snow here in the northeast. A cold blast of air, driving into the Eastern states, may set the table for a swath of snow next week from the Ohio Valley to New England.

A few temperature swings are likely through the weekend from the Upper Midwest to the Southeast before a large zone of cold air builds into the area next week.
Although the exact track of a potential storm system and impacts will need to be ironed out over the next several days, it is likely that the coldest air of the season will dive into the Midwest Monday, followed by the Ohio Valley and potentially to us here on the East Coast by midweek.

A few storm scenarios exist. One is that a coastal low develops near the Carolinas and slides up the East Coast, bringing coastal rain, inland snow and gusty winds.

Another possible option is that this low does not make the turn up the coast and slides out to sea instead. This track would favor a rain and snow mix for the central Appalachians with dry, cold conditions in New England.

A third scenario depicts an unusually strong storm that moves up the coast then backs into the Northeast. This type of setup would lead to heavy snow well inland but rain in the big cities of the I-95 corridor.

This storm is still a week away and nothing is certain, but it is something that needs to be watched! Glad to be back and talk to you all soon! -SS

Memorial Day weekend snow!

Memorial Day weekend snow!

Forget the beaches this weekend, and hit the ski slopes! Unbelievable weather this weekend with up to a foot of snow possible in northern VT!! Temperatures are 20-25 degrees below normal! This is unprecedented late season snow! Summer is going to have to wait until the end of this week, when temps will reach into the 80s again! -SS